What is the market performance of futures soybean oil? How to treat the market trend of futures soybean oil?

As an important variety in the agricultural futures market, the market performance of futures soybean oil has been widely concerned by investors. The price fluctuation of soybean oil futures not only reflects the relationship between market supply and demand, but also is influenced by multiple factors such as international soybean price, biodiesel demand and policy regulation.

First of all, from the perspective of supply and demand fundamentals, the main raw material of soybean oil is soybean, so the output and price of soybean have a direct impact on soybean oil futures. In recent years, global soybean production fluctuates greatly, especially in major producing countries such as the United States, Brazil and Argentina. Weather factors and changes in planting area will have a significant impact on soybean production, which will be transmitted to the soybean oil market.

Secondly, the development of biodiesel industry is also an important factor affecting soybean oil futures. With the increasing global demand for renewable energy, the production and consumption of biodiesel are increasing year by year. As one of the main raw materials of biodiesel, the demand of soybean oil also increases. This increase in demand supported the price of soybean oil futures to some extent.

Policy factors can not be ignored. The adjustment of agricultural and energy policies by various governments, such as subsidy policies and import and export tariffs, will have an impact on the soybean oil market. For example, some countries may protect the interests of their farmers by raising import tariffs on soybeans, which will lead to an increase in international soybean prices, which in turn will push up soybean oil futures prices.

In order to show the market performance of soybean oil futures more intuitively, the following is a simple table, which compares the price changes and main influencing factors of soybean oil futures in the past few years:

age Soybean oil futures price (yuan/ton) Main influencing factors 2018 5500 Global soybean production is declining, and the demand for biodiesel is increasing. 2019 6000 The soybean planting area in the United States has decreased, and the policy supports biodiesel 2020 5800 The epidemic situation in COVID-19 led to demand fluctuation and policy adjustment. 2021 6200 Global economic recovery, strong demand for biodiesel.

As can be seen from the table, the price fluctuation of soybean oil futures is closely related to global soybean production, biodiesel demand and policy adjustment. Investors need to consider these factors comprehensively when analyzing the trend of soybean oil futures market.

For the future market trends, investors should pay attention to the following aspects: first, the changes in global soybean production, especially the weather and planting conditions in major producing countries; Secondly, the development trends of biodiesel industry, including policy support and market demand; Finally, changes in international trade policies, especially the import and export policies related to soybeans and soybean oil.

Generally speaking, the soybean oil futures market is a complex and changeable market, and investors need to have strong market analysis ability and risk management awareness. Through in-depth study of market fundamentals and technical aspects, investors can better grasp the market trend of soybean oil futures and make more rational investment decisions.

(Editor: Zhang Xiaobo)

[Disclaimer] This article only represents the author’s own views and has nothing to do with Hexun. Hexun.com is neutral about the statements and opinions in this article, and does not provide any express or implied guarantee for the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the contents. Readers are requested for reference only, and please take full responsibility. Email: news_center@staff.hexun.com.